Centenario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
4 - 1
CEN
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
VIS
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAV
1 - 0
CEN
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
IND
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
MSM
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 2
ARA
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
DAL
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
DAL
4 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
3 - 5
TAU
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |