Centenario vs AD Orión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 0
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 0
CEN
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
7 - 0
ORI
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 1
TIE
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 1
MSM
20%
23%
56%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |