Centenario vs AD Orión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
5 - 2
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 2
TIE
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
4 - 1
ORI
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 1
ORI
63%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
5 - 0
ORI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 4
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |