Castuera Subastacar B vs Puebla De Alcocer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PGA
2 - 1
CAS
17%
17%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
SPH
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 4
CAS
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 4
CDT
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SIR
1 - 1
CAS
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Puebla De Alcocer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
SBA
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
PUE
25%
20%
55%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
2 - 2
SMA
41%
21%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 1
PUE
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PUE
8 - 5
FMO
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |