CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
RAY
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 2
CAS
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
GAV
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
ONT
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SEG
0 - 1
NOV
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
VIL
8%
20%
72%
|
40 | 87 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ONT
2 - 4
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |