CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALZ
2 - 1
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAG
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
4 - 0
CAS
27%
27%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELC
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 1
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRE
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |