CD Bargas vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Bargas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
BAR
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
FDE
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FUE
0 - 2
BAR
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
SON
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDP
1 - 0
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
T66
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CTI
2 - 0
CAL
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAL
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOR
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FDE
0 - 2
CAL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |