CD Azuaga vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Azuaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
AZU
65%
20%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AZU
4 - 2
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CPC
4 - 0
AZU
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AZU
2 - 0
OLI
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 0
PLA
23%
22%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MAD
3 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 3
MAD
9%
20%
71%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 3
MAD
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAD
4 - 1
CAS
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |