CD Avance vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Avance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
HEN
7 - 1
AVA
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
4 - 1
ADO
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 2
AVA
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
0 - 0
DOS
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AVA
3 - 0
UNI
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
EFC
1 - 0
UNI
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALM
3 - 2
EFC
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
EFC
3 - 0
DEC
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
EFC
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EFC
4 - 2
CDR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |