CD Avance vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Avance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
SDH
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FTO
0 - 4
AVA
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SHO
4 - 1
AVA
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
NPI
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COS
0 - 0
SFN
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 1
CAB
67%
20%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
0 - 1
SFN
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SFN
4 - 2
HEN
57%
23%
21%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DAG
1 - 1
SFN
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |