Aspense vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CAS
4 - 0
ASP
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ALZ
3 - 1
ASP
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ASP
4 - 1
SOR
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
MNC
1 - 0
ASP
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
ASP
3 - 1
LOR
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
VIL
8 - 1
NOV
75%
14%
12%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VIL
4 - 0
LEV
44%
22%
33%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ELC
4 - 3
VIL
51%
21%
28%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
VIL
5 - 1
CAT
71%
15%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
MHN
4 - 0
VIL
51%
21%
28%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |