Aspense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 0
VIL
49%
21%
31%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
NAV
2 - 0
ASP
55%
20%
26%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 1
ATZ
51%
20%
29%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
HEL
3 - 0
ASP
76%
13%
11%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 1
CAS
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
JAV
1 - 0
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 1
VIL
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
IMP
0 - 0
NOV
73%
14%
13%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
NOV
4 - 0
NAV
87%
8%
5%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
ORI
2 - 1
NOV
73%
14%
13%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |