Aspense vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
12.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASP
62%
18%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
ASP
3 - 2
MHN
68%
17%
16%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ALB
2 - 0
ASP
74%
14%
12%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ASP
5 - 1
NAV
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ALI
5 - 0
ASP
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
ELC
2 - 0
NOV
70%
15%
15%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
LEV
3 - 0
ELC
85%
9%
6%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ELC
3 - 1
HEL
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAT
65%
18%
18%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
MHN
4 - 1
ELC
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |