Actur Pablo Iglesias vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Actur Pablo Iglesias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
LAA
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MAE
2 - 1
CDA
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 2
AND
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ACF
4 - 3
CDA
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDA
6 - 1
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LAA
3 - 1
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
MAE
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
AND
2 - 1
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
ACF
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |