Actur Pablo Iglesias vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Actur Pablo Iglesias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDA
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 1
GIN
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ATC
0 - 1
CDA
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UDC
1 - 0
CDA
40%
26%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 1
LAA
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 3
HER
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
5 - 2
CDM
45%
24%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
GIN
37%
25%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 0
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |