Cayón vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
CAY
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAY
1 - 2
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 1
CUL
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
CAY
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAY
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
CUL
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
3 - 0
SAM
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 7
LAR
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
SAM
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |