Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RAY
2 - 0
CAY
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CAY
1 - 2
TEX
47%
27%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAY
59%
23%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
CAY
0 - 0
REO
73%
18%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAY
63%
22%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
REV
0 - 1
VEL
22%
28%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 1
REV
56%
24%
19%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
REV
0 - 1
ALB
25%
27%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
REV
1 - 0
NAV
21%
26%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
RAY
3 - 0
REV
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |