Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Caxias do Sul vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
25.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
0 - 0
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
INT
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
CAX
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 1
IND
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
POR
24%
31%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
LTD
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LTD
1 - 0
POR
20%
29%
51%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
POR
20%
29%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |