Caxias do Sul vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAX
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
CAX
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAX
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
CAX
0 - 1
UNI
57%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
REC
1 - 1
CAX
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
BAH
0 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
CRI
4 - 1
BAH
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
BAH
5 - 0
CRB
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
CEA
1 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 4
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |