Caxias do Sul vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 3
CAX
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 4
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAX
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
REM
0 - 0
CAX
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
3 - 1
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 2
BAH
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAH
3 - 2
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
BAH
2 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |