Caxias do Sul vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
LON
1 - 1
CAX
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
CAX
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
2 - 3
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
TOM
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
JUV
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
MAD
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |