Catarina vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 0
CAT
51%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 0
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAT
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SJF
3 - 1
CAT
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
3 - 2
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
NUE
28%
24%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
4 - 0
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
NUE
37%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |