Castelfidardo Calcio vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALF
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLY
4 - 3
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAM
16%
21%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
ROM
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JES
0 - 1
ASD
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
ROM
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
ASD
39%
23%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 0
VIS
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |