Casteggio 1898 vs Varzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casteggio 1898
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ABB
1 - 0
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
VIS
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
CAS
55%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
ROB
83%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BIA
2 - 5
VAR
10%
17%
74%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOM
0 - 0
VAR
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIV
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |