Casteggio 1898 vs Nord Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casteggio 1898
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
TOR
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
BIA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
LOM
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nord Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
BAS
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BIA
1 - 1
NOR
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
ATL
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOM
5 - 0
NOR
86%
11%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
RIV
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |