Casteggio 1898 vs Lomello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casteggio 1898
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
CIS
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
CER
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ABB
1 - 0
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lomello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 5
LOM
10%
17%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 0
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 0
TOR
70%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
LOM
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CIS
1 - 1
LOM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |