Casertana vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAS
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
AKR
0 - 2
LEC
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
26%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |