Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
FC Cartagena vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
6 - 1
ECI
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAD
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
20%
28%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
CPC
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 0
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 2
CAU
58%
23%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
COX
0 - 1
AVI
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |