Carranza vs Fomento Alumni CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JSB
0 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SSD
2 - 0
CAR
54%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
GSI
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 3
LCM
45%
23%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
FOM
2 - 1
SSD
57%
19%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LCM
2 - 3
FOM
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FOM
1 - 2
EPA
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CFR
0 - 0
FOM
25%
21%
55%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FOM
2 - 1
MRV
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |