Carolinense vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ALH
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 2
GRA
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ANT
4 - 0
CAR
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
FUE
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
GRA
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALH
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ALH
1 - 2
FUE
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
NIJ
0 - 1
ALH
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ALH
1 - 0
HUE
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ALH
1 - 2
NIJ
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |