North Carolina vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
RIC
4 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
GTR
3 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CVF
3 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 0
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 3
OMA
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
KCW
6 - 0
OMA
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 2
GTR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |