North Carolina vs FC Dallas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAL
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
EDM
6 - 1
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHA
64%
19%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
PHU
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COC
0 - 0
DAL
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 3
DAL
37%
25%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
POR
2 - 2
DAL
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |