Carmelita vs Santacruceña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CSC
2 - 0
ADC
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ADC
0 - 1
BFC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PER
2 - 1
ADC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ADC
2 - 2
SAP
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruceña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 1
PER
24%
28%
48%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
0 - 2
PFC
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LDA
1 - 0
CRU
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
0 - 1
CSH
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 3
SAN
32%
29%
40%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |