Carlos Renaux vs Blumenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JUV
2 - 0
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
POR
1 - 4
CRA
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
CRA
1 - 0
FFC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
CAM
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Blumenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BLU
6 - 0
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TUB
0 - 0
BLU
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
BLU
2 - 1
CAM
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MET
0 - 1
BLU
46%
22%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 5
TUB
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |