Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
STA
1 - 3
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 0
CUM
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WYC
3 - 1
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 2
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 3
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUT
0 - 1
AFC
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |