Cardiff MU vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
4º
20
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
5 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 4
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
FLI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |