Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
6 - 0
CEF
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +2 |