Carcavelinhos vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ACA
3 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 2
FCP
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
ULI
4 - 5
SCP
32%
21%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
55%
20%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |