Carcavelinhos vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 0
CAR
55%
20%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
VST
0 - 2
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
APO
1 - 0
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 1
APO
94%
4%
2%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
APO
0 - 1
SCP
10%
14%
76%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SLB
1 - 0
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
APO
1 - 2
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |