Caravan vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
DEV
3 - 1
CAR
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
WUN
1 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAP
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
JRA
1 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
RAN
1 - 1
CAR
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NIS
2 - 0
WUN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NIS
0 - 0
PVV
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NIS
3 - 0
ACO
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VOO
1 - 2
NIS
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |