Caravaggio vs Scanzorosciate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACL
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 4
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PON
5 - 3
SCA
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 0
DCA
46%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
SCA
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 3
PRO
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |