Caravaggio vs Sant Angelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
35%
27%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sant Angelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
PER
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
2 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FER
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |