Caravaggio vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALZ
0 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
OLG
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 2
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
USS
2 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 2
REN
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 1
FOL
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 2
SAC
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |