Caravaggio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRU
20%
22%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAP
41%
27%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
GRU
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 2
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
SER
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 3
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |