Caravaggio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
OLG
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PON
1 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
PER
36%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
3 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 1
STG
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
USA
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
0 - 1
LEC
69%
19%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |