Caravaggio vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MAP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEG
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOR
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
ACS
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ACS
0 - 2
LEC
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAP
4 - 3
ACS
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ACS
1 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LEG
0 - 2
ACS
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |