Cappellen vs KFC Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
1º
46
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
84% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BWI
0 - 2
CAP
7%
15%
78%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCL
1 - 1
CAP
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MEC
2 - 4
CAP
8%
15%
77%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
TON
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
HAD
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
3 - 1
PEP
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LON
1 - 2
LIL
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 2
KSC
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 2
LIL
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |