Capoise vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
4 - 0
CAP
55%
26%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
CAV
42%
32%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
ASM
42%
31%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
CAP
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VAL
32%
32%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
DON
32%
35%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIO
1 - 0
ASM
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
ASM
42%
31%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
VIO
2 - 1
ASM
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
AME
28%
32%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |