Capoise vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 0
CAP
42%
31%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAP
0 - 0
BAL
43%
30%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
CAP
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CAP
0 - 0
TEM
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GON
2 - 1
CAP
33%
33%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIC
34%
31%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 0
ASM
51%
29%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
BAL
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
FIC
1 - 0
ASM
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 0
GON
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |