Capalaba vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAP
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 5
LOG
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
CAP
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
CAP
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
ROC
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
6 - 0
TAR
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 2
UNI
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
MIT
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 4
ALB
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |